Introduction
Currently, the theory of finance is underpinned by probability theory. To understand financial economics properly, we'll need to spend some time talking through some elementary probability theory in the lectures and in the tutorials, which start next week (week 3).
This lecture will introduce students to the ideas of probability, histograms, distributions, and show some examples.
Length: 50 Minutes
Click the link below to get handouts, homeworks, slides, and links to further reading.
Slides
Handouts
Further Reading
Peter L. Bernstein, Against the Gods, the remarkable story of Risk
Alfred Cowles, Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast? Econometrica, 1933.